What are the chances of seeing a Thera variata in Bavarian Forest National Park?
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Thera variata sighting in Bavarian Forest National Park on a given day, based on 8 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 661st most-seen of the 1115 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Thera variata in Bavarian Forest National Park?
April–May and August–September
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Thera variata in Bavarian Forest National Park on a given day, against under 5% in June–July and October–March, the lowest months.
What time of day is best to see a Thera variata?
Between 10 pm and 1 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Thera variata sightings with a recorded time, and about 8 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is mostly seen at night.
Where else can you see a Thera variata?
Only Bavarian Forest National Park, in our data
Bavarian Forest National Park is the only park on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Thera variata sightings: about 10% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
Which relatives of the Thera variata live in Bavarian Forest National Park?
Same family: Geometridae
The closest relatives of the Thera variata that you can see in Bavarian Forest National Park (family Geometridae, Geometer Moths) are Common Heath (about 20%), Latticed Heath (about 20%) and Yellow Shell Moth (about 20%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Thera variata sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Thera variata is recorded against all the insects logged in Bavarian Forest National Park (8 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.