Glaphyria fulminalis
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~20%
Glaphyria fulminalis, the black-patched glaphyria, is a species of moth of the family Crambidae described by Julius Lederer in 1863. It is found in the eastern part of the United States, from Connecticut to Florida, west to Texas and Illinois.
The wingspan is about 11 millimetres (0.43 in). Adults are on wing from May to August. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Baltimore | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 2 | Austin | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 3 | Washington | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 4 | New York City | 🇺🇸 United States |
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Black-Patched Glaphyria Moth sighting in Austin on a given day, based on 18 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 873rd most-seen of the 1624 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
May
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Black-Patched Glaphyria Moth in Austin on a given day, against under 5% in June to April, the lowest months. That is one of Austin's wettest months, with about 110 mm of rain against 45 mm in February.
Among the best
Of the 4 cities where we can rate Black-Patched Glaphyria Moth sightings, Austin ranks 2nd at under 5%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Baltimore (United States, under 5%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Black-Patched Glaphyria Moth is recorded against all the insects logged in Austin (18 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
