What are the chances of seeing an Apocheima cinerarius in Beijing?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report an Apocheima cinerarius sighting in Beijing on a given day, based on 6 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 349th most-seen of the 401 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see an Apocheima cinerarius in Beijing?
February and March
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report an Apocheima cinerarius in Beijing on a given day, against under 5% in April to January, the lowest months. Those are among Beijing's driest months, with about 10 mm of rain a month against 150 mm in July.
Where else can you see an Apocheima cinerarius?
Only Beijing, in our data
Beijing is the only city on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Apocheima cinerarius sightings: under 5% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
Where does the Apocheima cinerarius sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Apocheima cinerarius is recorded against all the insects logged in Beijing (6 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.