Gypsonoma minutana
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~20%
Gypsonoma minutana, the poplar tortricid, is a moth of the family Tortricidae. It is found in Europe (north up to Finland) and North Africa, Turkey, Transcaucasia, Ural, Kazakhstan, from central Asia to Siberia and eastern Russia, Asia Minor, Iran, Afghanistan, Mongolia, China and Japan.
The wingspan is 12–15 mm. Adults are on wing in July in England. In Japan, there are two to three generations per year (in June, July and August). In Italy, there are two to three generations per year, with adults on wing from late May to mid-June, late July to mid-August and from mid-September to late October.
The larvae feed on Populus nigra, Populus alba and Populus tremula. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Beijing | 🇨🇳 China |
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Brindled Shoot sighting in Beijing on a given day, based on 5 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 349th most-seen of the 401 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
July
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Brindled Shoot in Beijing on a given day, against under 5% in August to June, the lowest months. That is one of Beijing's wettest months, with about 150 mm of rain against almost none in January.
Only Beijing, in our data
Beijing is the only city on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Brindled Shoot sightings: under 5% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Brindled Shoot is recorded against all the insects logged in Beijing (5 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
