Arge pagana
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~30%
Arge pagana is a sawfly in the family Argidae. It is known by the name "large rose sawfly" although the related species Arge ochropus is also known by this name. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 2 | Manchester | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 3 | Birmingham | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 4 | Leeds | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 5 | London | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 6 | Copenhagen | 🇩🇰 Denmark | |
| 7 | Milan | 🇮🇹 Italy | |
| 8 | Beijing | 🇨🇳 China | |
| 9 | Paris | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 10 | Munich | 🇩🇪 Germany |
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Large Rose Sawfly sighting in Beijing on a given day, based on 11 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 201st most-seen of the 401 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
June to August
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Large Rose Sawfly in Beijing on a given day, against under 5% in September to May, the lowest months. Those are among Beijing's wettest months, with about 110 mm of rain a month against almost none in January.
8th of 13
Of the 13 cities where we can rate Large Rose Sawfly sightings, Beijing ranks 8th at under 5%. The best odds are in Liverpool (United Kingdom, about 20%), Manchester (United Kingdom, about 10%) and Birmingham (United Kingdom, about 10%).
Same order: Hymenoptera
The closest relatives of the Large Rose Sawfly that you can see in Beijing (order Hymenoptera, Ants, Bees, Wasps, and Sawflies) are Asian Honey Bee (about 20%), Appendiculate Carpenter Bee (about 10%) and Asian Paper Wasp (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Large Rose Sawfly is recorded against all the insects logged in Beijing (11 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
