Nonagria typhae
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~20%
The bulrush wainscot (Nonagria typhae) is a moth of the family Noctuidae. It is found from Ireland and Portugal to southern Fennoscandia, east to western Siberia, the Altai Mountains, Yakutia, Turkey, the Caucasus, Lebanon, Egypt, Arabia, Iraq, Iran, Afghanistan and Central Asia. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom |
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Bulrush Wainscot sighting in Birmingham on a given day, based on 7 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 616th most-seen of the 811 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
July and August
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Bulrush Wainscot in Birmingham on a given day, against under 5% in September to June, the lowest months.
Only Birmingham, in our data
Birmingham is the only city on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Bulrush Wainscot sightings: under 5% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
Same family: Noctuidae
The closest relatives of the Bulrush Wainscot that you can see in Birmingham (family Noctuidae, Cutworm Moths and Allies) are Large Yellow Underwing (about 20%), Silver Υ (about 20%) and Knot Grass Moth (about 20%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Bulrush Wainscot is recorded against all the insects logged in Birmingham (7 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
