What are the chances of seeing a Fagisyrphus cincta in Birmingham?
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Fagisyrphus cincta sighting in Birmingham on a given day, based on 25 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 339th most-seen of the 811 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 40%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Fagisyrphus cincta in Birmingham?
April
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Fagisyrphus cincta in Birmingham on a given day, against under 5% in May to March, the lowest months.
Is Birmingham the best place to see a Fagisyrphus cincta?
Yes
Of the 3 cities where we can rate Fagisyrphus cincta sightings, Birmingham has the highest daily chance: about 10%. Next come Copenhagen (Denmark, under 5%) and London (United Kingdom, under 5%).
Which relatives of the Fagisyrphus cincta live in Birmingham?
Same family: Syrphidae
The closest relatives of the Fagisyrphus cincta that you can see in Birmingham (family Syrphidae, Hover Flies) are Yellow-Haired Sun Fly (about 40%), Marmalade Hover Fly (about 30%) and Tapered Drone Fly (about 30%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Fagisyrphus cincta sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Fagisyrphus cincta is recorded against all the insects logged in Birmingham (25 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.