Lozotaenia forsterana
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~30%
Lozotaenia forsterana is a moth of the family Tortricidae. It is found in Europe and across the Palearctic. The wingspan is 20–29 mm. The forewings are narrowed anteriorly and pale brownish, darker-strigulated. The central fascia is represented by a dark fuscous costal spot, and there is an ill-defined praetornal suffusion. The costal patch is dark fuscous. The hindwings are grey. The larva is pale grey -green or grey, sides sometimes whitish; head black; plate of 2 yellow-brown, with two black spots.
The moth flies from June to August. The larvae feed on various plants, but prefer Hedera helix. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | London | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 2 | Birmingham | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom |
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Large Ivy Tortrix sighting in Birmingham on a given day, based on 9 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 528th most-seen of the 811 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
June
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Large Ivy Tortrix in Birmingham on a given day, against under 5% in July to May, the lowest months.
Among the best
Of the 2 cities where we can rate Large Ivy Tortrix sightings, Birmingham ranks 2nd at under 5%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in London (United Kingdom, under 5%).
Same family: Tortricidae
The closest relatives of the Large Ivy Tortrix that you can see in Birmingham (family Tortricidae, Tortricid Leafroller Moths) are Light Brown Apple Moth (about 20%), Common Marble (about 10%) and Common Roller (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Large Ivy Tortrix is recorded against all the insects logged in Birmingham (9 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
