Arge pagana
In 3 days ~30% in a week ~50%
Arge pagana is a sawfly in the family Argidae. It is known by the name "large rose sawfly" although the related species Arge ochropus is also known by this name. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 2 | Manchester | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 3 | Birmingham | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 4 | Leeds | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 5 | London | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 6 | Copenhagen | 🇩🇰 Denmark | |
| 7 | Milan | 🇮🇹 Italy | |
| 8 | Beijing | 🇨🇳 China | |
| 9 | Paris | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 10 | Munich | 🇩🇪 Germany |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Large Rose Sawfly sighting in Birmingham on a given day, based on 53 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 175th most-seen of the 811 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 30%, and over a week to about 50%, if each day is a fresh chance.
August
In that month about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Large Rose Sawfly in Birmingham on a given day, against under 5% in October to April, the lowest months.
3rd of 13
Of the 13 cities where we can rate Large Rose Sawfly sightings, Birmingham ranks 3rd at about 10%. The best odds are in Liverpool (United Kingdom, about 20%) and Manchester (United Kingdom, about 10%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Large Rose Sawfly is recorded against all the insects logged in Birmingham (53 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
