Aglaostigma aucupariae
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~40%
Aglaostigma aucupariae is a Palearctic species of sawfly. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 2 | London | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 3 | Lyon | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 4 | Paris | 🇫🇷 France |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Red-Belted Cleaver sighting in Birmingham on a given day, based on 35 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 236th most-seen of the 811 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 40%, if each day is a fresh chance.
April
In that month about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Red-Belted Cleaver in Birmingham on a given day, against under 5% in June to February, the lowest months.
Yes
Of the 4 cities where we can rate Red-Belted Cleaver sightings, Birmingham has the highest daily chance: about 10%. Next come London (United Kingdom, under 5%) and Lyon (France, under 5%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Red-Belted Cleaver is recorded against all the insects logged in Birmingham (35 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
