What are the chances of seeing a Condica illecta in Brisbane?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Condica illecta sighting in Brisbane on a given day, based on 16 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 538th most-seen of the 1083 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Condica illecta in Brisbane?
August and September
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Condica illecta in Brisbane on a given day, against under 5% in October to July, the lowest months. Those are among Brisbane's driest months, with about 40 mm of rain a month against 160 mm in February.
Is Brisbane the best place to see a Condica illecta?
Yes
Of the 3 cities where we can rate Condica illecta sightings, Brisbane has the highest daily chance: under 5%. Next come Hong Kong (China, under 5%) and Tokyo (Japan, under 5%).
Which relatives of the Condica illecta live in Brisbane?
Same family: Noctuidae
The closest relatives of the Condica illecta that you can see in Brisbane (family Noctuidae, Cutworm Moths and Allies) are Oriental Leafworm Moth (about 10%), Yellow Tiger Moth (about 10%) and Lawn Armyworm Moth (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Condica illecta sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Condica illecta is recorded against all the insects logged in Brisbane (16 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.