What are the chances of seeing a Carmenta wagneri in Buenos Aires?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Carmenta wagneri sighting in Buenos Aires on a given day, based on 6 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 488th most-seen of the 558 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Carmenta wagneri in Buenos Aires?
Any time of year
In every month with enough records, under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Carmenta wagneri in Buenos Aires on a given day, so our monthly data shows no clear season.
Where else can you see a Carmenta wagneri?
Only Buenos Aires, in our data
Buenos Aires is the only city on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Carmenta wagneri sightings: under 5% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
Which relatives of the Carmenta wagneri live in Buenos Aires?
Same order: Lepidoptera
The closest relatives of the Carmenta wagneri that you can see in Buenos Aires (order Lepidoptera, Butterflies and Moths) are Gulf Fritillary (about 40%), Southern Monarch (about 30%) and Junonia lavinia (about 30%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Carmenta wagneri sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Carmenta wagneri is recorded against all the insects logged in Buenos Aires (6 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.