What are the chances of seeing a Melanchroia aterea in Buenos Aires?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Melanchroia aterea sighting in Buenos Aires on a given day, based on 39 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 207th most-seen of the 558 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Melanchroia aterea in Buenos Aires?
March to May
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Melanchroia aterea in Buenos Aires on a given day, against under 5% in June to February, the lowest months.
Is Buenos Aires the best place to see a Melanchroia aterea?
3rd of 3
Of the 3 cities where we can rate Melanchroia aterea sightings, Buenos Aires ranks 3rd at under 5%. The best odds are in Curitiba (Brazil, about 10%) and São Paulo (Brazil, under 5%).
Where does the Melanchroia aterea sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Melanchroia aterea is recorded against all the insects logged in Buenos Aires (39 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.