Orgyia tricolor
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~20%
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Table Mountain National Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa |
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cape Town | 🇿🇦 South Africa |
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Fawn Vapourer sighting in Cape Town on a given day, based on 9 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 219th most-seen of the 311 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
August
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Fawn Vapourer in Cape Town on a given day, against under 5% in September to July, the lowest months. That is one of Cape Town's wettest months, with about 120 mm of rain against 15 mm in February.
Between 10 am and 1 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Fawn Vapourer sightings with a recorded time, and about 9 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
Only Cape Town, in our data
Cape Town is the only city on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Fawn Vapourer sightings: under 5% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
Same family: Erebidae
The closest relatives of the Fawn Vapourer that you can see in Cape Town (family Erebidae, Underwing, Tiger, Tussock, and Allied Moths) are Brown Tricolour Tiger Moth (about 20%), Heady Maiden (about 20%) and Zebra Ermine (about 20%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Fawn Vapourer is recorded against all the insects logged in Cape Town (9 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
