Brachypsectra fulva
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~20%
Brachypsectra fulva is a species of beetle in the Brachypsectridae family commonly known as the Texas beetle. B. fulva occurs in Mexico and in the southern United States in the states of Arizona, California, Colorado, New Mexico, Texas and Utah.
This beetle has a light brown elongated oval body between four and eight millimetres long. The head is slightly wider than it is long and there are globular, protruding eyes. The antennae have ten segments, the distal six expanded on one side to form pectinate clubs, though these are less developed in the female. The prothorax is wider than it is long and widest posteriorly. The elytra have nine weakly impressed punctate striae and are broadly rounded at the posterior. The hind wings are as long as they are wide and have oblique, apically dividing, linear sclerites. The male beetle is smaller than the female and is much the same width for most of its length whereas the female is broadest in the posterior third of its length.
The larva is pale coloured, up to fifteen millimetres long, flattened and broadly ovate. The head is dark and much narrower than the prothorax. The antennae and legs are well developed... Wikipedia →
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Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Texas Beetle sighting in Dallas on a given day, based on 11 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 1019th most-seen of the 1412 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
July
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Texas Beetle in Dallas on a given day, against under 5% in August to June, the lowest months.
Among the best
Of the 2 cities where we can rate Texas Beetle sightings, Dallas ranks 2nd at under 5%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Austin (United States, under 5%).
Same order: Coleoptera
The closest relatives of the Texas Beetle that you can see in Dallas (order Coleoptera, Beetles) are Asian Lady Beetle (about 30%), Spotted Cucumber Beetle (about 20%) and Seven-Spotted Lady Beetle (about 20%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Texas Beetle is recorded against all the insects logged in Dallas (11 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
