What are the chances of seeing a Graphic Ermine in Durban?
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Graphic Ermine sighting in Durban on a given day, based on 24 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 95th most-seen of the 401 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 40%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Graphic Ermine in Durban?
December
In that month about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Graphic Ermine in Durban on a given day, against under 5% in April–August and October, the lowest months. That is one of Durban's wettest months, with about 210 mm of rain against 25 mm in June.
Is Durban the best place to see a Graphic Ermine?
Among the best
Of the 3 cities where we can rate Graphic Ermine sightings, Durban ranks 3rd at about 10%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Pretoria (South Africa, about 10%) and Johannesburg (South Africa, about 10%).
Which relatives of the Graphic Ermine live in Durban?
Same family: Erebidae
The closest relatives of the Graphic Ermine that you can see in Durban (family Erebidae, Underwing, Tiger, Tussock, and Allied Moths) are Lienard's Achaea (about 10%), African Peach Moth (about 10%) and Creamstriped Owl (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Graphic Ermine sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Graphic Ermine is recorded against all the insects logged in Durban (24 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.