What are the chances of seeing a Birch Sober in Helsinki?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Birch Sober sighting in Helsinki on a given day, based on 8 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 553rd most-seen of the 838 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Birch Sober in Helsinki?
July and August
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Birch Sober in Helsinki on a given day, against under 5% in September to June, the lowest months.
Is Helsinki the best place to see a Birch Sober?
Among the best
Of the 3 cities where we can rate Birch Sober sightings, Helsinki ranks 2nd at under 5%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Saint Petersburg (Russia, under 5%).
Where does the Birch Sober sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Birch Sober is recorded against all the insects logged in Helsinki (8 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.