What are the chances of seeing a Cerynea ustula in Hong Kong?
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Cerynea ustula sighting in Hong Kong on a given day, based on 31 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 330th most-seen of the 1125 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Cerynea ustula in Hong Kong?
March–April, July–August and October
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Cerynea ustula in Hong Kong on a given day, against under 5% in May–June, September and November–February, the lowest months.
Where else can you see a Cerynea ustula?
Only Hong Kong, in our data
Hong Kong is the only city on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Cerynea ustula sightings: about 10% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
Where does the Cerynea ustula sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Cerynea ustula is recorded against all the insects logged in Hong Kong (31 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.