What are the chances of seeing a Pale Hairtail in Johannesburg?
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Pale Hairtail sighting in Johannesburg on a given day, based on 10 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 126th most-seen of the 213 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Pale Hairtail in Johannesburg?
January–March, May and September–November
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Pale Hairtail in Johannesburg on a given day, against under 5% in April, June–August and December, the lowest months.
Is Johannesburg the best place to see a Pale Hairtail?
Among the best
Of the 3 cities where we can rate Pale Hairtail sightings, Johannesburg ranks 3rd at about 10%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Pretoria (South Africa, about 10%) and Durban (South Africa, about 10%).
Which relatives of the Pale Hairtail live in Johannesburg?
Same family: Lycaenidae
The closest relatives of the Pale Hairtail that you can see in Johannesburg (family Lycaenidae, Gossamer-winged Butterflies) are African Grass Blue (about 20%), Pea Blue (about 10%) and Geranium Bronze (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Pale Hairtail sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Pale Hairtail is recorded against all the insects logged in Johannesburg (10 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.