Holocerina smilax
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~30%
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Johannesburg | 🇿🇦 South Africa |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Variable Prince sighting in Johannesburg on a given day, based on 8 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 139th most-seen of the 213 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
November to April
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Variable Prince in Johannesburg on a given day, against under 5% in May to October, the lowest months. Those are among Johannesburg's wettest months, with about 90 mm of rain a month against almost none in July.
Only Johannesburg, in our data
Johannesburg is the only city on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Variable Prince sightings: about 10% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
Same family: Saturniidae
The closest relatives of the Variable Prince that you can see in Johannesburg (family Saturniidae, Emperor and Giant Silk Moths) are Cabbage Tree Emperor (about 10%) and Mopane Worm (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Variable Prince is recorded against all the insects logged in Johannesburg (8 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
