Eristalis cerealis
In 3 days ~50% in a week ~80%
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
Possible
About 20% of wildlife watchers report an Eristalis cerealis sighting in Kathmandu on a given day, based on 16 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 15th most-seen of the 71 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 50%, and over a week to about 80%, if each day is a fresh chance.
February and April–May
In those months about 40% of wildlife watchers report an Eristalis cerealis in Kathmandu on a given day, against under 5% in June–October and December, the lowest months. Those are among Kathmandu's driest months, with about 50 mm of rain a month against 280 mm in July.
Between 9 am and noon
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Eristalis cerealis sightings with a recorded time, and about 8 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
Yes
Of the 9 cities where we can rate Eristalis cerealis sightings, Kathmandu has the highest daily chance: about 20%. Next come Kunming (China, about 20%) and Wuhan (China, about 10%).
Same order: Diptera
The closest relatives of the Eristalis cerealis that you can see in Kathmandu (order Diptera, Flies) are Bathroom Moth Fly (about 20%), Chironomus javanus (about 10%) and Black Soldier Fly (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Eristalis cerealis is recorded against all the insects logged in Kathmandu (16 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
