Eristalis cerealis
In 3 days ~50% in a week ~80%
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
Possible
About 20% of wildlife watchers report an Eristalis cerealis sighting in Kunming on a given day, based on 20 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 4th most-seen of the 36 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 50%, and over a week to about 80%, if each day is a fresh chance.
November
In that month about 60% of wildlife watchers report an Eristalis cerealis in Kunming on a given day, against under 5% in January, March–July and September–October, the lowest months. That is one of Kunming's driest months, with about 20 mm of rain against 180 mm in July.
Between 9 am and noon
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Eristalis cerealis sightings with a recorded time, and about 8 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
Among the best
Of the 9 cities where we can rate Eristalis cerealis sightings, Kunming ranks 2nd at about 20%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Kathmandu (Nepal, about 20%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Eristalis cerealis is recorded against all the insects logged in Kunming (20 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
