What are the chances of seeing a Picasso Moth in Kunming?
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Picasso Moth sighting in Kunming on a given day, based on 7 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 10th most-seen of the 36 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 40%, and over a week to about 70%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Picasso Moth in Kunming?
August
In that month about 30% of wildlife watchers report a Picasso Moth in Kunming on a given day, against under 5% in April, July and November–February, the lowest months. That is one of Kunming's wettest months, with about 160 mm of rain against 10 mm in February.
Where else can you see a Picasso Moth?
Only Kunming, in our data
Kunming is the only city on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Picasso Moth sightings: about 10% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
Which relatives of the Picasso Moth live in Kunming?
Same family: Erebidae
The closest relatives of the Picasso Moth that you can see in Kunming (family Erebidae, Underwing, Tiger, Tussock, and Allied Moths) are Nyctemera adversata (about 10%) and Nyctemera arctata (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Picasso Moth sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Picasso Moth is recorded against all the insects logged in Kunming (7 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.