Microchrysa polita
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~20%
Microchrysa polita, the black-horned gem, is a species of soldier fly found in Europe, Asia, and North America. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Black-Horned Gem Fly sighting in Kyiv on a given day, based on 5 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 655th most-seen of the 753 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
June
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Black-Horned Gem Fly in Kyiv on a given day, against under 5% in July to May, the lowest months. That is one of Kyiv's wettest months, with about 75 mm of rain against 40 mm in April.
6th of 17
Of the 17 cities where we can rate Black-Horned Gem Fly sightings, Kyiv ranks 6th at under 5%. The best odds are in Birmingham (United Kingdom, about 10%), Brussels (Belgium, about 10%) and Liverpool (United Kingdom, about 10%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Black-Horned Gem Fly is recorded against all the insects logged in Kyiv (5 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
