What are the chances of seeing a Dark-Shouldered Sciapteryx in Kyiv?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Dark-Shouldered Sciapteryx sighting in Kyiv on a given day, based on 5 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 655th most-seen of the 753 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Dark-Shouldered Sciapteryx in Kyiv?
March and April
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Dark-Shouldered Sciapteryx in Kyiv on a given day, against under 5% in May to February, the lowest months.
Where else can you see a Dark-Shouldered Sciapteryx?
Only Kyiv, in our data
Kyiv is the only city on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Dark-Shouldered Sciapteryx sightings: under 5% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
Which relatives of the Dark-Shouldered Sciapteryx live in Kyiv?
Same family: Tenthredinidae
The closest relatives of the Dark-Shouldered Sciapteryx that you can see in Kyiv (family Tenthredinidae, Common Sawflies) are Turnip Sawfly (about 10%) and Tenthredo talyshensis (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Dark-Shouldered Sciapteryx sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Dark-Shouldered Sciapteryx is recorded against all the insects logged in Kyiv (5 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.