What are the chances of seeing a Cereal Fly in Lisbon?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Cereal Fly sighting in Lisbon on a given day, based on 6 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 361st most-seen of the 441 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Cereal Fly in Lisbon?
January and November
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Cereal Fly in Lisbon on a given day, against under 5% in February–October and December, the lowest months. Those are among Lisbon's wettest months, with about 85 mm of rain a month against almost none in July.
What time of day is best to see a Cereal Fly?
Between 11 am and 2 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Cereal Fly sightings with a recorded time, and nearly all of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
Where else can you see a Cereal Fly?
Only Lisbon, in our data
Lisbon is the only city on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Cereal Fly sightings: under 5% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
Which relatives of the Cereal Fly live in Lisbon?
Same order: Diptera
The closest relatives of the Cereal Fly that you can see in Lisbon (order Diptera, Flies) are Marmalade Hover Fly (about 10%), Common Drone Fly (about 10%) and Common Globetail (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Cereal Fly sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Cereal Fly is recorded against all the insects logged in Lisbon (6 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.