What are the chances of seeing a Ceriana vespiformis in Lisbon?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Ceriana vespiformis sighting in Lisbon on a given day, based on 6 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 405th most-seen of the 441 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Ceriana vespiformis in Lisbon?
Any time of year
In every month with enough records, under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Ceriana vespiformis in Lisbon on a given day, so our monthly data shows no clear season.
Is Lisbon the best place to see a Ceriana vespiformis?
3rd of 3
Of the 3 cities where we can rate Ceriana vespiformis sightings, Lisbon ranks 3rd at under 5%. The best odds are in Barcelona (Spain, about 10%) and Madrid (Spain, under 5%).
Which relatives of the Ceriana vespiformis live in Lisbon?
Same family: Syrphidae
The closest relatives of the Ceriana vespiformis that you can see in Lisbon (family Syrphidae, Hover Flies) are Marmalade Hover Fly (about 10%), Common Drone Fly (about 10%) and Common Globetail (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Ceriana vespiformis sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Ceriana vespiformis is recorded against all the insects logged in Lisbon (6 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.