Arge pagana
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~40%
Arge pagana is a sawfly in the family Argidae. It is known by the name "large rose sawfly" although the related species Arge ochropus is also known by this name. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 2 | Manchester | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 3 | Birmingham | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 4 | Leeds | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 5 | London | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 6 | Copenhagen | 🇩🇰 Denmark | |
| 7 | Milan | 🇮🇹 Italy | |
| 8 | Beijing | 🇨🇳 China | |
| 9 | Paris | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 10 | Munich | 🇩🇪 Germany |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Large Rose Sawfly sighting in London on a given day, based on 77 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 354th most-seen of the 1504 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 40%, if each day is a fresh chance.
May to September
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Large Rose Sawfly in London on a given day, against under 5% in October to April, the lowest months.
5th of 13
Of the 13 cities where we can rate Large Rose Sawfly sightings, London ranks 5th at about 10%. The best odds are in Liverpool (United Kingdom, about 20%), Manchester (United Kingdom, about 10%) and Birmingham (United Kingdom, about 10%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Large Rose Sawfly is recorded against all the insects logged in London (77 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
