What are the chances of seeing a Marbled Cosmet in London?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Marbled Cosmet sighting in London on a given day, based on 11 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 1005th most-seen of the 1504 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Marbled Cosmet in London?
August
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Marbled Cosmet in London on a given day, against under 5% in September to July, the lowest months.
Is London the best place to see a Marbled Cosmet?
Among the best
Of the 2 cities where we can rate Marbled Cosmet sightings, London ranks 2nd at under 5%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Birmingham (United Kingdom, under 5%).
Where does the Marbled Cosmet sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Marbled Cosmet is recorded against all the insects logged in London (11 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.