What are the chances of seeing an Orange-Marked Cranefly in London?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report an Orange-Marked Cranefly sighting in London on a given day, based on 13 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 931st most-seen of the 1504 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see an Orange-Marked Cranefly in London?
Any time of year
In every month with enough records, under 5% of wildlife watchers report an Orange-Marked Cranefly in London on a given day, so our monthly data shows no clear season.
Is London the best place to see an Orange-Marked Cranefly?
Yes
Of the 2 cities where we can rate Orange-Marked Cranefly sightings, London has the highest daily chance: under 5%. Next come Paris (France, under 5%).
Which relatives of the Orange-Marked Cranefly live in London?
Same order: Diptera
The closest relatives of the Orange-Marked Cranefly that you can see in London (order Diptera, Flies) are Yellow-Haired Sun Fly (about 40%), Marmalade Hover Fly (about 30%) and Hornet Mimic Hover Fly (about 30%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Orange-Marked Cranefly sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Orange-Marked Cranefly is recorded against all the insects logged in London (13 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.