What are the chances of seeing an Apple Leafminer in Manchester?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report an Apple Leafminer sighting in Manchester on a given day, based on 11 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 346th most-seen of the 458 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see an Apple Leafminer in Manchester?
March and September–November
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report an Apple Leafminer in Manchester on a given day, against under 5% in April–August and December–February, the lowest months.
What time of day is best to see an Apple Leafminer?
Between 11 am and 2 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Apple Leafminer sightings with a recorded time, and about 6 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is seen both by day and at night.
Is Manchester the best place to see an Apple Leafminer?
5th of 8
Of the 8 cities where we can rate Apple Leafminer sightings, Manchester ranks 5th at under 5%. The best odds are in Liverpool (United Kingdom, about 30%), London (United Kingdom, about 10%) and Birmingham (United Kingdom, about 10%).
Which relatives of the Apple Leafminer live in Manchester?
Same order: Lepidoptera
The closest relatives of the Apple Leafminer that you can see in Manchester (order Lepidoptera, Butterflies and Moths) are Speckled Wood (about 50%), Cinnabar Moth (about 40%) and Red Admiral (about 40%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Apple Leafminer sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Apple Leafminer is recorded against all the insects logged in Manchester (11 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.