What are the chances of seeing a Dasyphora cyanella in Manchester?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Dasyphora cyanella sighting in Manchester on a given day, based on 5 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 421st most-seen of the 458 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Dasyphora cyanella in Manchester?
March and April
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Dasyphora cyanella in Manchester on a given day, against under 5% in May to February, the lowest months.
Is Manchester the best place to see a Dasyphora cyanella?
Yes
Of the 3 cities where we can rate Dasyphora cyanella sightings, Manchester has the highest daily chance: under 5%. Next come Birmingham (United Kingdom, under 5%) and London (United Kingdom, under 5%).
Which relatives of the Dasyphora cyanella live in Manchester?
Same order: Diptera
The closest relatives of the Dasyphora cyanella that you can see in Manchester (order Diptera, Flies) are Tapered Drone Fly (about 30%), Marmalade Hover Fly (about 30%) and Common Drone Fly (about 30%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Dasyphora cyanella sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Dasyphora cyanella is recorded against all the insects logged in Manchester (5 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.