What are the chances of seeing a Dingy Dowd in Manchester?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Dingy Dowd sighting in Manchester on a given day, based on 7 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 387th most-seen of the 458 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Dingy Dowd in Manchester?
July
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Dingy Dowd in Manchester on a given day, against under 5% in August to June, the lowest months.
Is Manchester the best place to see a Dingy Dowd?
4th of 4
Of the 4 cities where we can rate Dingy Dowd sightings, Manchester ranks 4th at under 5%. The best odds are in Liverpool (United Kingdom, about 20%), London (United Kingdom, about 10%) and Birmingham (United Kingdom, about 10%).
Which relatives of the Dingy Dowd live in Manchester?
Same order: Lepidoptera
The closest relatives of the Dingy Dowd that you can see in Manchester (order Lepidoptera, Butterflies and Moths) are Speckled Wood (about 50%), Cinnabar Moth (about 40%) and Red Admiral (about 40%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Dingy Dowd sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Dingy Dowd is recorded against all the insects logged in Manchester (7 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.