What are the chances of seeing a Nut Leaf Blister Moth in Manchester?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Nut Leaf Blister Moth sighting in Manchester on a given day, based on 6 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 421st most-seen of the 458 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Nut Leaf Blister Moth in Manchester?
August to October
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Nut Leaf Blister Moth in Manchester on a given day, against under 5% in November to July, the lowest months.
Is Manchester the best place to see a Nut Leaf Blister Moth?
5th of 6
Of the 6 cities where we can rate Nut Leaf Blister Moth sightings, Manchester ranks 5th at under 5%. The best odds are in Liverpool (United Kingdom, about 10%), London (United Kingdom, about 10%) and Birmingham (United Kingdom, under 5%).
Where does the Nut Leaf Blister Moth sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Nut Leaf Blister Moth is recorded against all the insects logged in Manchester (6 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.