What are the chances of seeing a Lorquin's Cobra Moth in Manila?
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Lorquin's Cobra Moth sighting in Manila on a given day, based on 7 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 91st most-seen of the 122 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 40%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Lorquin's Cobra Moth in Manila?
January, April, June, August–September and November
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Lorquin's Cobra Moth in Manila on a given day, against under 5% in February–March, May, July, October and December, the lowest months.
Where else can you see a Lorquin's Cobra Moth?
Only Manila, in our data
Manila is the only city on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Lorquin's Cobra Moth sightings: about 10% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
Which relatives of the Lorquin's Cobra Moth live in Manila?
Same order: Lepidoptera
The closest relatives of the Lorquin's Cobra Moth that you can see in Manila (order Lepidoptera, Butterflies and Moths) are Great Eggfly (about 40%), Brown Pansy (about 40%) and Lime Swallowtail (about 40%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Lorquin's Cobra Moth sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Lorquin's Cobra Moth is recorded against all the insects logged in Manila (7 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.