What are the chances of seeing a Speckled Dun in Mexico City?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Speckled Dun sighting in Mexico City on a given day, based on 33 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 186th most-seen of the 557 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Speckled Dun in Mexico City?
January and October–November
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Speckled Dun in Mexico City on a given day, against under 5% in February–September and December, the lowest months. Those are among Mexico City's driest months, with about 30 mm of rain a month against 150 mm in July.
Is Mexico City the best place to see a Speckled Dun?
Yes
Of the 5 cities where we can rate Speckled Dun sightings, Mexico City has the highest daily chance: under 5%. Next come Monterrey (México, under 5%) and San Diego (United States, under 5%).
Where does the Speckled Dun sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Speckled Dun is recorded against all the insects logged in Mexico City (33 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.