Phyllonorycter populifoliella
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~30%
Phyllonorycter populifoliella is a moth of the family Gracillariidae. It is known from all of Europe, except the British Isles. Adults are on wing in two generations per year, from April to May and in again from August to September.
The larvae feed on Populus x canadensis, Populus deltoides, Populus euramericana and Populus nigra. They mine the leaves of their host plant. The pupa of the second generation hibernates. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minsk | 🇧🇾 Belarus | |
| 2 | Yekaterinburg | 🇷🇺 Russia | |
| 3 | Saint Petersburg | 🇷🇺 Russia | |
| 4 | Moscow | 🇷🇺 Russia |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Phyllonorycter populifoliella sighting in Minsk on a given day, based on 8 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 116th most-seen of the 196 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
June to September
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Phyllonorycter populifoliella in Minsk on a given day, against under 5% in October to May, the lowest months.
Yes
Of the 4 cities where we can rate Phyllonorycter populifoliella sightings, Minsk has the highest daily chance: about 10%. Next come Yekaterinburg (Russia, under 5%) and Saint Petersburg (Russia, under 5%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Phyllonorycter populifoliella is recorded against all the insects logged in Minsk (8 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
