What are the chances of seeing an Ellescus scanicus in Moscow?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report an Ellescus scanicus sighting in Moscow on a given day, based on 47 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 253rd most-seen of the 1111 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see an Ellescus scanicus in Moscow?
April and May
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report an Ellescus scanicus in Moscow on a given day, against under 5% in June to March, the lowest months.
Is Moscow the best place to see an Ellescus scanicus?
Among the best
Of the 2 cities where we can rate Ellescus scanicus sightings, Moscow ranks 2nd at under 5%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Saint Petersburg (Russia, under 5%).
Where does the Ellescus scanicus sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Ellescus scanicus is recorded against all the insects logged in Moscow (47 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.