What are the chances of seeing a Siberian Winter Damsel in Moscow?
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Siberian Winter Damsel sighting in Moscow on a given day, based on 532 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 45th most-seen of the 1111 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 40%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Siberian Winter Damsel in Moscow?
March to August
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Siberian Winter Damsel in Moscow on a given day, against under 5% in September to February, the lowest months.
Is Moscow the best place to see a Siberian Winter Damsel?
Among the best
Of the 7 cities where we can rate Siberian Winter Damsel sightings, Moscow ranks 3rd at about 10%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Astana (Kazakhstan, about 10%) and Novosibirsk (Russia, about 10%).
Where does the Siberian Winter Damsel sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Siberian Winter Damsel is recorded against all the insects logged in Moscow (532 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.