What are the chances of seeing a Conocephalus exemptus in Nagoya?
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Conocephalus exemptus sighting in Nagoya on a given day, based on 10 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 104th most-seen of the 195 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 40%, and over a week to about 60%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Conocephalus exemptus in Nagoya?
September
In that month about 30% of wildlife watchers report a Conocephalus exemptus in Nagoya on a given day, against under 5% in August and December–June, the lowest months. That is one of Nagoya's wettest months, with about 220 mm of rain against 75 mm in January.
Is Nagoya the best place to see a Conocephalus exemptus?
Yes
Of the 5 cities where we can rate Conocephalus exemptus sightings, Nagoya has the highest daily chance: about 10%. Next come Osaka (Japan, about 10%) and Seoul (South Korea, under 5%).
Which relatives of the Conocephalus exemptus live in Nagoya?
Same genus: Conocephalus
The closest relatives of the Conocephalus exemptus that you can see in Nagoya (genus Conocephalus, Lesser Meadow Katydids) are Spotted Meadow Katydid (about 20%), Conocephalus chinensis (about 10%) and Black-Kneed Meadow Katydid (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Conocephalus exemptus sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Conocephalus exemptus is recorded against all the insects logged in Nagoya (10 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.