Papilio demetrius
In 3 days ~40% in a week ~70%
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
Possible
About 20% of wildlife watchers report a Papilio demetrius sighting in Nagoya on a given day, based on 13 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 75th most-seen of the 195 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 40%, and over a week to about 70%, if each day is a fresh chance.
May, July and September
In those months about 30% of wildlife watchers report a Papilio demetrius in Nagoya on a given day, against under 5% in August and October–March, the lowest months.
Yes
Of the 4 cities where we can rate Papilio demetrius sightings, Nagoya has the highest daily chance: about 20%. Next come Sendai (Japan, about 10%) and Osaka (Japan, about 10%).
Same genus: Papilio
The closest relatives of the Papilio demetrius that you can see in Nagoya (genus Papilio, Common Swallowtails) are Chinese Yellow Swallowtail (about 40%) and Old World Swallowtail (about 20%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Papilio demetrius is recorded against all the insects logged in Nagoya (13 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
