What are the chances of seeing a Letis specularis in Natal?
Possible
About 20% of wildlife watchers report a Letis specularis sighting in Natal on a given day, based on 5 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 5th most-seen of the 6 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 50%, and over a week to about 80%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Letis specularis in Natal?
March
In that month about 40% of wildlife watchers report a Letis specularis in Natal on a given day, against under 5% in February, April–July and September–December, the lowest months. That is one of Natal's wettest months, with about 140 mm of rain against 15 mm in November.
Is Natal the best place to see a Letis specularis?
Yes
Of the 3 cities where we can rate Letis specularis sightings, Natal has the highest daily chance: about 20%. Next come Fortaleza (Brazil, about 10%) and João Pessoa (Brazil, about 10%).
Which relatives of the Letis specularis live in Natal?
Same order: Lepidoptera
The closest relatives of the Letis specularis that you can see in Natal (order Lepidoptera, Butterflies and Moths) are Mexican Fritillary (about 40%), Thoas Swallowtail (about 20%) and Orange-Spotted Flower Moth (about 20%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Letis specularis sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Letis specularis is recorded against all the insects logged in Natal (5 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.