What are the chances of seeing a Furcate Dung Fly in New York City?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Furcate Dung Fly sighting in New York City on a given day, based on 20 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 804th most-seen of the 1623 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Furcate Dung Fly in New York City?
November
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Furcate Dung Fly in New York City on a given day, against under 5% in December to October, the lowest months.
Is New York City the best place to see a Furcate Dung Fly?
Among the best
Of the 6 cities where we can rate Furcate Dung Fly sightings, New York City ranks 5th at under 5%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Vancouver (Canada, under 5%), Toronto (Canada, under 5%) and Montreal (Canada, under 5%).
Where does the Furcate Dung Fly sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Furcate Dung Fly is recorded against all the insects logged in New York City (20 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.