Adoxophyes orana
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~30%
Adoxophyes orana, the summer fruit tortrix, is a moth of the family Tortricidae. It is found in the Palearctic realm and Taiwan. The wingspan is 17–22 mm. The moth flies in two generations from May to November. The larvae overwinter in loosely woven cocoons.
The larvae feed on various trees and shrubs with a preference for Rosaceous plants, particularly apple (Malus domestica) and pear (Prunus pyrifolia). The species is considered a pest due to the damage the larvae do to fruit trees while feeding. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nizhny Novgorod | 🇷🇺 Russia | |
| 2 | Moscow | 🇷🇺 Russia |
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Summer Fruit Tortrix sighting in Nizhny Novgorod on a given day, based on 11 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 224th most-seen of the 405 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
June and August–September
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Summer Fruit Tortrix in Nizhny Novgorod on a given day, against under 5% in July and October–May, the lowest months.
Yes
Of the 2 cities where we can rate Summer Fruit Tortrix sightings, Nizhny Novgorod has the highest daily chance: under 5%. Next come Moscow (Russia, under 5%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Summer Fruit Tortrix is recorded against all the insects logged in Nizhny Novgorod (11 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
