Celypha rufana
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~30%
Celypha rufana, the lakes marble, is a small moth species of the family Tortricidae, long known under the junior synonym C. rosaceana. Junior synonyms of this species are: Argyroploce rufana (Scopoli, 1763) Celypha rosaceana (Schläger, 1848)
The basic color of the forewings is rosy or purplish (hence the Latin species name rosaceana, meaning pinkish) when the moth is freshly emerged, but it turns quickly to a dull buff tinge or a rufous coloration, with a lightly reticulated (net-like) pattern. Julius von Kennel provides a full description.
These bivoltine moths fly during the afternoon and evening from May to July and in August and September. The caterpillars feed in April and May mainly on the rootstock of sow thistles (Sonchus species) and common dandelion (Taraxacum officinale), but also on various other plants (Chrysanthemum leucanthemum, Artemisia vulgaris, Plantago, Achillea, etc.). They have also been reported to be... Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novosibirsk | 🇷🇺 Russia | |
| 2 | London | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom |
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Lakes Marble sighting in Novosibirsk on a given day, based on 5 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 190th most-seen of the 216 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
June and July
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Lakes Marble in Novosibirsk on a given day, against under 5% in August to May, the lowest months. Those are among Novosibirsk's wettest months, with about 65 mm of rain a month against 25 mm in February.
Yes
Of the 2 cities where we can rate Lakes Marble sightings, Novosibirsk has the highest daily chance: under 5%. Next come London (United Kingdom, under 5%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Lakes Marble is recorded against all the insects logged in Novosibirsk (5 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
