Spodoptera pulchella
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~20%
Spodoptera pulchella, the Caribbean armyworm moth, is a moth of the family Noctuidae found in Florida and Texas, Central America, the Greater Antilles, and the Bahamas. It was first described by Gottlieb August Wilhelm Herrich-Schäffer in 1868.
The wingspan is about 35 mm. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
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More parks will be added in future updates.
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Caribbean Armyworm Moth sighting in Orlando on a given day, based on 7 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 213th most-seen of the 294 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
September and November
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Caribbean Armyworm Moth in Orlando on a given day, against under 5% in October and December–August, the lowest months.
Among the best
Of the 2 cities where we can rate Caribbean Armyworm Moth sightings, Orlando ranks 2nd at under 5%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Miami (United States, under 5%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Caribbean Armyworm Moth is recorded against all the insects logged in Orlando (7 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
