What are the chances of seeing an Orthogonia sera in Osaka?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report an Orthogonia sera sighting in Osaka on a given day, based on 6 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 304th most-seen of the 352 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see an Orthogonia sera in Osaka?
June and July
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report an Orthogonia sera in Osaka on a given day, against under 5% in August to May, the lowest months. Those are among Osaka's wettest months, with about 200 mm of rain a month against 55 mm in January.
Is Osaka the best place to see an Orthogonia sera?
2nd of 3
Of the 3 cities where we can rate Orthogonia sera sightings, Osaka ranks 2nd at under 5%. The best odds are in Nagoya (Japan, about 10%).
Where does the Orthogonia sera sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Orthogonia sera is recorded against all the insects logged in Osaka (6 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.