Papilio demetrius
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~50%
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Papilio demetrius sighting in Osaka on a given day, based on 29 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 89th most-seen of the 352 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 50%, if each day is a fresh chance.
April to October
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Papilio demetrius in Osaka on a given day, against under 5% in November to March, the lowest months.
3rd of 4
Of the 4 cities where we can rate Papilio demetrius sightings, Osaka ranks 3rd at about 10%. The best odds are in Nagoya (Japan, about 20%) and Sendai (Japan, about 10%).
Same genus: Papilio
The closest relatives of the Papilio demetrius that you can see in Osaka (genus Papilio, Common Swallowtails) are Chinese Yellow Swallowtail (about 30%), Red Helen Swallowtail (about 10%) and Great Mormon Swallowtail (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Papilio demetrius is recorded against all the insects logged in Osaka (29 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
