Aegosoma sinicum
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~40%
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Thin-Winged Longicorn Beetle sighting in Osaka on a given day, based on 17 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 149th most-seen of the 352 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 40%, if each day is a fresh chance.
July
In that month about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Thin-Winged Longicorn Beetle in Osaka on a given day, against under 5% in September to June, the lowest months. That is one of Osaka's wettest months, with about 200 mm of rain against 55 mm in January.
11th of 12
Of the 12 cities where we can rate Thin-Winged Longicorn Beetle sightings, Osaka ranks 11th at about 10%. The best odds are in Tianjin (China, about 30%), Hefei (China, about 20%) and Nanjing (China, about 10%).
Same family: Cerambycidae
The closest relatives of the Thin-Winged Longicorn Beetle that you can see in Osaka (family Cerambycidae, Longhorn Beetles) are Red Necked Longhorn Beetle (about 10%), Citrus Longhorn Beetle (about 10%) and Red Longicorn Beetle (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Thin-Winged Longicorn Beetle is recorded against all the insects logged in Osaka (17 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
