What are the chances of seeing a Bradybatus fallax in Paris?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Bradybatus fallax sighting in Paris on a given day, based on 7 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 686th most-seen of the 916 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Bradybatus fallax in Paris?
April and October
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Bradybatus fallax in Paris on a given day, against under 5% in May–September and November–March, the lowest months.
Is Paris the best place to see a Bradybatus fallax?
Among the best
Of the 3 cities where we can rate Bradybatus fallax sightings, Paris ranks 2nd at under 5%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in London (United Kingdom, under 5%).
Where does the Bradybatus fallax sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Bradybatus fallax is recorded against all the insects logged in Paris (7 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.